{"id":1138,"date":"2025-11-03T18:36:54","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T13:36:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/sequoias-roelof-botha-warns-founders-about-chasing-sky-high-valuations-as-the-firm-doubles-down-on-its-selective-approach\/"},"modified":"2025-11-03T18:36:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T13:36:54","slug":"sequoias-roelof-botha-warns-founders-about-chasing-sky-high-valuations-as-the-firm-doubles-down-on-its-selective-approach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/sequoias-roelof-botha-warns-founders-about-chasing-sky-high-valuations-as-the-firm-doubles-down-on-its-selective-approach\/","title":{"rendered":"Sequoia&#8217;s Roelof Botha warns founders about chasing sky-high valuations as the firm doubles down on its selective approach"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p id=\"speakable-summary\" class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Trump administration has begun taking direct equity stakes in American companies, not as temporary crisis measures, as in 2008, but as permanent fixtures of industrial policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moves raise interesting questions, including what happens when the White House appears on a cap table.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At TechCrunch Disrupt in San Francisco last week, Sequoia Capital\u2019s global steward Roelof Botha fielded exactly that query, and his response drew knowing laughter from the packed house: \u201c[Some] of the most dangerous words in the world are: \u2018I\u2019m from the government, and I\u2019m here to help.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Botha, who describes himself as \u201csort of libertarian, free market thinker by nature,\u201d said that industrial policy has its place when national interests demand it. \u201cThe only reason the U.S. is resorting to this is because we have other nation states with whom we compete who are using industrial policy to further their industries that are strategic and maybe adverse to the U.S. in long term interests.\u201d In other words, China\u2019s playing the game, so the U.S. has to play along.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Still, his discomfort with government as co-investor was unmistakable during his appearance. And that wariness extends beyond Washington. In fact, Botha sees troubling echoes of the pandemic-era funding circus in today\u2019s market, though he stopped short of using the word \u201cbubble\u201d on stage. \u201cI think we\u2019re in a period of incredible acceleration,\u201d he offered more diplomatically, while also warning about valuation inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He told the audience that, on the very morning of his appearance, Sequoia had debriefed about a portfolio company whose valuation soared from $150 million to $6 billion in twelve months during 2021, only to come crashing back down to Earth. \u201cThe challenge you have inside the company for the founders and the team, [is] you feel as though you\u2019re on this trajectory, and then you end up being successful, but it\u2019s not quite as good as you hoped at one point.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s tempting to keep raising money to maintain momentum, he continued, but the faster a valuation climbs, the harder it can fall, and nothing demoralizes a team quite like watching a paper fortune evaporate.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-techcrunch-inline-cta\">\n<div class=\"inline-cta__wrapper\">\n<p>Techcrunch event<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline-cta__content\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-cta__location\">San Francisco<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-cta__separator\">|<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-cta__date\">October 13-15, 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His advice for founders navigating these frothy waters was two-pronged: if you don\u2019t need to raise for at least twelve months, don\u2019t. \u201cYou\u2019re probably better off building because your company will be worth so much more 12 months from now,\u201d he said. On the other hand, he added, if you\u2019re six months from needing capital, raise now while the money\u2019s flowing, because markets like the one we\u2019re in can sour quickly.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Being the sort of person who studied Latin in high school (his words), Botha reached for classical mythology to drive the point home. \u201cI did read the story of Daedalus and Icarus in Latin. And that stuck with me, this idea that if you fly too hard, too fast, your wings may melt.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>When founders hear Botha opine on the market, they pay attention, and understandably so. The firm\u2019s portfolio includes early bets on Nvidia, Apple, Google, and Palo Alto Networks. Botha also kicked off his Disrupt appearance with news about Sequoia\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2025\/10\/27\/sequoia-unveils-950m-in-new-early-stage-funds-as-it-strives-to-be-only-as-good-as-our-next-investment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">two newest investment vehicles<\/a>: new seed and venture funds that give the firm $950 million more to invest and are \u201cessentially the same size as the funds we launched six, seven years ago,\u201d said Botha onstage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Though Sequoia<a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2025\/10\/27\/sequoia-unveils-950m-in-new-early-stage-funds-as-it-strives-to-be-only-as-good-as-our-next-investment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> changed its fund structure<\/a> in 2021 in order to hold public stock for longer periods, Botha made clear it is still very much an early-stage shop at its core. He said that over the last twelve months, Sequoia has invested in 20 seed-stage companies, nine of them at incorporation. \u201cThere\u2019s nothing more thrilling than partnering with founders right at the beginning.\u201d Sequoia is \u201cmore mammalian than reptilian,\u201d he continued. \u201cWe don\u2019t lay 100 eggs and see what happens. We have a small number of offspring, like mammals, and then you need to give them a lot of attention.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s a strategy rooted in experience, he said. \u201cIn the last 20-25 years, 50% of the time we\u2019ve made a seed or venture investment, we fail to fully recover capital, which is humbling.\u201d After his own first complete write-off, Botha said he cried at a partner meeting out of shame and embarrassment. \u201cBut unfortunately, that is part of what we have to do to achieve outliers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What accounts for Sequoia\u2019s success?  After all, a lot of firms invest in seed-stage companies. Botha partly credited a decision-making process that even surprised him when he joined two decades ago: every investment requires partnership consensus, with each partner\u2019s vote carrying equal weight regardless of tenure or title. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Each Monday, he explained, the firm kicks off partner meetings with an anonymous poll to surface the range of opinions about materials the partners are asked to digest over the weekend. Side conversations are verboten. \u201cThe last thing you want is alliances to form,\u201d Botha said. \u201cOur goal is great investment decisions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The process can test patience \u2014 Botha once spent six months lobbying partners on a single growth investment \u2014 but he\u2019s convinced it\u2019s essential. \u201cNo one, not even me, can force an investment through our partnership.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Despite Sequoia\u2019s success, or perhaps because of it, Botha\u2019s most provocative position is that venture capital isn\u2019t really an asset class or, at least, it shouldn\u2019t be treated as one. \u201cIf you take out the top 20 or so venture firms out of the industry\u2019s results, we [as an industry] actually underperformed investing in an index fund,\u201d he said flatly onstage. He pointed to the 3,000 venture firms now operating in America alone, which is triple the number when Botha joined Sequoia. \u201cThrowing more money into Silicon Valley doesn\u2019t yield more great companies,\u201d he said. \u201cIt actually dilutes that. It actually makes it harder for us to get the small number of special companies to flourish.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The solution, in his view, is: stay small, stay focused, and remember that \u201cthere are only so many companies that matter.\u201d It\u2019s a philosophy that has served Sequoia for decades. And in a moment when Uncle Sam wants on your cap table and VCs are throwing money at anything that moves, it might be the most contrarian advice of all.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2025\/11\/02\/sequoias-roelof-botha-warns-founders-about-chasing-sky-high-valuations-as-the-firm-doubles-down-on-its-selective-approach\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Trump administration has begun taking direct equity stakes in American companies, not as temporary crisis measures, as in 2008, but as permanent fixtures of industrial policy. The moves raise interesting questions, including what happens when the White House appears on a cap table. At TechCrunch Disrupt in San Francisco last week, Sequoia Capital\u2019s global [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tech"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1138","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1138"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1138\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1138"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1138"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paknews.centers.pk\/ur\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}