There is a very real universe in which the ACC misses the playoffs<\/a>, and two non-power-conference teams sneak in. In most years, I would love to live in that world, but I don\u2019t think there are two teams that can compete in the playoffs this year.<\/p>\n For this exercise, we are going to assume that Virginia takes care of business, and the Group of Five is playing for the 12th seed. Three teams are fighting for one spot, so I\u2019m going to rank those teams by who I think is the best bet to make the playoffs. UNLV technically isn\u2019t eliminated yet, but I would be shocked if they were able to jump over JMU or either team fighting out of the AAC.<\/p>\n With those guidelines out of the way, let\u2019s get into the rankings.<\/p>\n Of the three Group of Five teams with a real shot at making the playoffs, JMU has the lowest odds to make it. However, I think they\u2019re the best bet because they\u2019re 23.5-point favorites in their conference championship.<\/p>\n North Texas and Tulane are playing an elimination game against each other, and if neither of them impresses \u2014 and JMU can blow out Troy \u2014 that can make an excellent case for the final playoff spot.<\/p>\n Outside of an easy conference championship, the Dukes have a very solid r\u00e9sum\u00e9<\/a>. Their only loss is to a good Louisville team, with whom they were tied going into the 4th quarter. They beat six bowl-eligible teams, and they have the highest strength of record of the three teams. Hopefully, the committee ignores their weak strength of schedule in this scenario.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n Our Current Best Offers<\/span><\/p>\n 1<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n 2<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n 3<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n 4<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n <\/p>\n There\u2019s nothing that people love more in college football than a great story, and North Texas has just that.<\/p>\n If you haven\u2019t heard by now, Drew Mestemaker never played a varsity snap as a quarterback in high school, walked on at North Texas, and is now the FBS leader in passing yards. It\u2019s a story Disney wouldn\u2019t even try to write because it sounds so ridiculous.<\/p>\n North Texas has by far the best offense in the Group of Five. I prefer when a Group of Five team leans on their offense instead of their defense, as that plays better against stiffer competition.<\/p>\n The only reason I don\u2019t have them as my number one team is that their odds aren\u2019t great, and they got blown out in one of their two conference-play challenges against USF. Also, North Texas\u2019s strength of schedule will go up after they play Tulane, but for all this talk of JMU playing such an easy schedule, North Texas actually has a lower strength of schedule as of now.<\/p>\n I just don\u2019t see how they are currently the favorite.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n Our Current Best Offers<\/span><\/p>\n 1<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n 2<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n 3<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n 4<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n I have Tulane in third because they have two losses. At the end of the day, the committee is made up of humans, and having two losses on their schedule makes things an uphill battle. However, Tulane is the only team here to schedule challenging out-of-conference games and win them.<\/p>\n They beat Duke, who might win a conference championship<\/a>, and Northwestern, who is playing in a bowl game. However, the losses are rough. Ole Miss completely outclassed them, and UTSA ran them out of the Alamodome.<\/p>\n We\u2019re still waiting to see if the committee respects quality wins or quantity of losses more \u2014 that\u2019s why I am unwilling to bet on them to make the dance.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n Our Current Best Offers<\/span><\/p>\n 1<\/p>\n T&Cs apply, 18+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\nJMU +130<\/h2>\n
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North Texas -135<\/h2>\n
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